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HHSA Racers for practice race tomorrow, Saturday 2...
Author Last Post
 Bev, I agree we decided to cancel when we got out the channel, we read a gust up to 37 kn 

HHSA racers,  today’s practice is canceled due to strong winds, will make another announcement on 68 at noon and 1230 



From: "Racing Discussions" <racing_discussions@hhsa.org>
Date: Saturday, April 27, 2019 at 11:23:54
To: "Folio, Les (NIH/CC/DRD) [E]" <les.folio@nih.gov>
Subject: re: HHSA Racers for practice race tomorrow, Saturday 27 April <<$229178126890$>>

Lea, sorry, too gusty for Whoosh so not going out.

Bev

Sent from TypeApp
On Apr 27, 2019, at 7:40 AM, Racing Discussions <racing_discussions@hhsa.org> wrote:
HHSA racers, 

Race Comittee update on marine wx synopsis wind conditions this morning (see below). 

We Plan on being on the water an hour before start in case you want to radio or call/ text us for updates. My cell is 240 281 8832

If wind and wave conditions allow, we plan on 3 practice starts, the 3rd starting the most basic W/L with Leeward finish as depicted on page 17 of the HHSA coursebook (#2 and attached image). 


GALE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON...

Synopsis: Low pressure will move off the New England coast today as a cold front pushes eastward into the western Atlantic. A weak ridge of high pressure will move overhead tonight followed by another low pressure system on Sunday. Small Craft Advisories may be required Sunday and Sunday evening. 

Today
W winds 15 to 20 kt. Gusts up to 35 kt... Diminishing to 25 kt late. Waves 4 ft.


From: "Racing Discussions" <racing_discussions@hhsa.org>
Date: Friday, April 26, 2019 at 13:37:01
To: "Folio, Les (NIH/CC/DRD) [E]" <les.folio@nih.gov>
Subject: HHSA Racers for practice race tomorrow, Saturday 27 April <<$229127751443$>>

HHSA Racers for tomorrow’s practice race, Saturday 27 April with web details on the following url: http://www.hhsa.org/content.aspx?page_id=4002&club_id=8237&item_id=953480

 

Gaia will be your RC, that said, here is the current Wx brief, see below for the current urgent Marine Forecast including a Gale warning (WINDS...34 to 47 knots). I realize NOAA is conservative on these, however, just wanted to make everyone aware, if someone has a different interpretation of that, feel free to contact me directly, or start a discussion.

 

Looks like winds should be favorable below 20knots by 1255 pm according to CBOS (see graphic below) and we plan on an on time start of 12:55 pm.

Tides: High 11:07 am 1.1 ft, low 6:08 pm 0.4 ft.

See wx synopsis below.

 

See graph below for Conowingo dam discharge pattern; I am not aware of a discharge this weekend. If anyone has a better prediction model, we are adding to our pre-race analysis so feel free to send to me.

 

I am planning on picking up the RC equipment from HH North and taking it to HHS (unless someone may be making a trip from North to South by 10 am, let me know).

 

Also, I am short on crew with RC experience (as of now I am the only one). If anyone has RC experienced crew (or even racing experience familiar with start sequence), I have space (and food, beer, etc.). If I remain short, just be patient with us, we are practicing also.

 

Some may recall when Gaia did RC last year in high winds, there were several incidents including an MOB resulting in a death earlier that day, and an MOB on an HHSA boat and we had damage to our anchor line. Given that experience and inputs from others that day, my threshold for race abandonment has lowered toward the side of safety.

 

FYI Gaia has briefed and practiced our annual MOB drill, which I believe has been recommended to HHSA racers in the past (perhaps not in such a sporty conditions as tomorrow). If winds are over 20 knots, we will likely motor in place instead of anchoring; especially since the braid repair reduces strength.  Plus if we have an MOB (almost happened last year, knife was ready to cut anchor line), we want to be mobile.

 

FYI and example of safety, the Naval Academy Offshore Sailing Program is also short on crew for their N44 sailing tomorrow and will cancel their training mission if they have only 6.

 

If anyone on this email feels a need to abandon before departing or while on the water, Gaia is all ears and committees by consensus; again we err on the side of caution.

 

Thanks!

 

 

 

Marine Zone Forecast

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON...

 

Synopsis: A cold front will cross from west to east late this afternoon and early evening. A weak ridge of high pressure will move overhead Saturday night followed by another low pressure system on Sunday. Small Craft Advisories may be required Saturday evening and again Sunday and Sunday evening. 

Rest Of Today

S winds 15 kt. Gusts up to 25 kt... Increasing to 35 kt late. Waves 3 ft. Numerous showers with isolated tstms late this morning, then widespread showers and numerous tstms this afternoon.

Tonight

W winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts to 35 kt. Waves 4 ft. Widespread showers and scattered tstms.

Sat

W winds 15 to 20 kt. Gusts up to 35 kt... Diminishing to 25 kt late. Waves 4 ft.

Sat Night

W winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts to 20 kt... Diminishing to 5 kt after midnight. Waves 3 ft...subsiding to 1 ft after midnight.

 

 

 

Gale Warning

URGENT - Marine Weather Message

National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC

959 AM EDT Fri Apr 26 2019

 

ANZ530>543-262200-

/O.CON.KLWX.GL.W.0013.000000T0000Z-190427T1800Z/

/O.NEW.KLWX.SC.Y.0079.190427T1800Z-190427T2200Z/

Chesapeake Bay north of Pooles Island MD-

Chesapeake Bay from Pooles Island to Sandy Point MD-

Chesapeake Bay from Sandy Point to North Beach MD-

Chesapeake Bay from North Beach to Drum Point MD-

Chesapeake Bay from Drum Point MD to Smith Point VA-

Tidal Potomac from Key Bridge to Indian Head MD-

Tidal Potomac from Indian Head to Cobb Island MD-

Tidal Potomac from Cobb Island MD to Smith Point VA-

Patapsco River including Baltimore Harbor-

Chester River to Queenstown MD-Eastern Bay-

Choptank River to Cambridge MD and the Little Choptank River-

Patuxent River to Broomes Island MD-

Tangier Sound and the inland waters surrounding Bloodsworth

Island-

959 AM EDT Fri Apr 26 2019

 

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM EDT SATURDAY...

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM TO 6 PM EDT

SATURDAY...

 

The National Weather Service in Baltimore MD/Washington has

issued a Small Craft Advisory, which is in effect from 2 PM to

6 PM EDT Saturday.

 

* WINDS...34 to 47 knots within the Gale Warning.

 

* WINDS...18 to 33 knots within the Small Craft Advisory.

 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

 

A Gale Warning means winds of 34 to 47 knots are imminent or

occurring. Operating a vessel in gale conditions requires

experience and a properly equipped vessel. Recreational boaters

should seek safe harbor prior to the onset of gale conditions.

 

A Small Craft Advisory means winds of 18 to 33 knots are imminent

or occurring. Boaters operating smaller vessels should avoid

navigating in these conditions.

 

 

 

Les

Gaia

 

Les R. Folio, DO, MPH, FAOCR, FSCBTMR

Col (ret), USAF

Lead Computed Tomography Radiologist,

Senior Research Physician,

Radiology and Imaging and Sciences,

Clinical Center, National Institutes of Health

 

Adjunct Clinical Professor, Radiology, George Washington University Hospital

 

NIH address:

National Institutes of Health

10 Center Drive; Building 10; Room 1C 340 Bethesda, MD, 20892

Voice 301.435 8622, Cell 240.281.8832, Fax 301.480.2229

Email: les.folio@nih.gov

Twitter: @LesFolio

Bio: https://clinicalcenter.nih.gov/meet-our-doctors/lfolio.html

 

 

 

 

From: Racing Discussions <racing_discussions@hhsa.org>
Sent: Thursday, April 25, 2019 8:38 PM
To: Folio, Les (NIH/CC/DRD) [E] <les.folio@nih.gov>
Subject: re: Help Needed <<$229082543644$>>

 

That is wonderful, thank you. Les all RC equipment is on Amara at North. Please get in touch with me so I can hand it over. My cell is 301 536 8040.

Racers who want to practice, Gaia is RC. Gaia will communicate further through this forum regarding the weather


Attachment(s):
Photo-0.jpg (853.4 KB)
 
Lea, sorry, too gusty for Whoosh so not going out.

Bev

Sent from TypeApp
On Apr 27, 2019, at 7:40 AM, Racing Discussions <racing_discussions@hhsa.org> wrote:
HHSA racers, 

Race Comittee update on marine wx synopsis wind conditions this morning (see below). 

We Plan on being on the water an hour before start in case you want to radio or call/ text us for updates. My cell is 240 281 8832

If wind and wave conditions allow, we plan on 3 practice starts, the 3rd starting the most basic W/L with Leeward finish as depicted on page 17 of the HHSA coursebook (#2 and attached image). 


GALE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON...

Synopsis: Low pressure will move off the New England coast today as a cold front pushes eastward into the western Atlantic. A weak ridge of high pressure will move overhead tonight followed by another low pressure system on Sunday. Small Craft Advisories may be required Sunday and Sunday evening. 

Today
W winds 15 to 20 kt. Gusts up to 35 kt... Diminishing to 25 kt late. Waves 4 ft.


From: "Racing Discussions" <racing_discussions@hhsa.org>
Date: Friday, April 26, 2019 at 13:37:01
To: "Folio, Les (NIH/CC/DRD) [E]" <les.folio@nih.gov>
Subject: HHSA Racers for practice race tomorrow, Saturday 27 April <<$229127751443$>>

HHSA Racers for tomorrow’s practice race, Saturday 27 April with web details on the following url: http://www.hhsa.org/content.aspx?page_id=4002&club_id=8237&item_id=953480

 

Gaia will be your RC, that said, here is the current Wx brief, see below for the current urgent Marine Forecast including a Gale warning (WINDS...34 to 47 knots). I realize NOAA is conservative on these, however, just wanted to make everyone aware, if someone has a different interpretation of that, feel free to contact me directly, or start a discussion.

 

Looks like winds should be favorable below 20knots by 1255 pm according to CBOS (see graphic below) and we plan on an on time start of 12:55 pm.

Tides: High 11:07 am 1.1 ft, low 6:08 pm 0.4 ft.

See wx synopsis below.

 

See graph below for Conowingo dam discharge pattern; I am not aware of a discharge this weekend. If anyone has a better prediction model, we are adding to our pre-race analysis so feel free to send to me.

 

I am planning on picking up the RC equipment from HH North and taking it to HHS (unless someone may be making a trip from North to South by 10 am, let me know).

 

Also, I am short on crew with RC experience (as of now I am the only one). If anyone has RC experienced crew (or even racing experience familiar with start sequence), I have space (and food, beer, etc.). If I remain short, just be patient with us, we are practicing also.

 

Some may recall when Gaia did RC last year in high winds, there were several incidents including an MOB resulting in a death earlier that day, and an MOB on an HHSA boat and we had damage to our anchor line. Given that experience and inputs from others that day, my threshold for race abandonment has lowered toward the side of safety.

 

FYI Gaia has briefed and practiced our annual MOB drill, which I believe has been recommended to HHSA racers in the past (perhaps not in such a sporty conditions as tomorrow). If winds are over 20 knots, we will likely motor in place instead of anchoring; especially since the braid repair reduces strength.  Plus if we have an MOB (almost happened last year, knife was ready to cut anchor line), we want to be mobile.

 

FYI and example of safety, the Naval Academy Offshore Sailing Program is also short on crew for their N44 sailing tomorrow and will cancel their training mission if they have only 6.

 

If anyone on this email feels a need to abandon before departing or while on the water, Gaia is all ears and committees by consensus; again we err on the side of caution.

 

Thanks!

 

 

 

Marine Zone Forecast

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON...

 

Synopsis: A cold front will cross from west to east late this afternoon and early evening. A weak ridge of high pressure will move overhead Saturday night followed by another low pressure system on Sunday. Small Craft Advisories may be required Saturday evening and again Sunday and Sunday evening. 

Rest Of Today

S winds 15 kt. Gusts up to 25 kt... Increasing to 35 kt late. Waves 3 ft. Numerous showers with isolated tstms late this morning, then widespread showers and numerous tstms this afternoon.

Tonight

W winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts to 35 kt. Waves 4 ft. Widespread showers and scattered tstms.

Sat

W winds 15 to 20 kt. Gusts up to 35 kt... Diminishing to 25 kt late. Waves 4 ft.

Sat Night

W winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts to 20 kt... Diminishing to 5 kt after midnight. Waves 3 ft...subsiding to 1 ft after midnight.

 

 

 

Gale Warning

URGENT - Marine Weather Message

National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC

959 AM EDT Fri Apr 26 2019

 

ANZ530>543-262200-

/O.CON.KLWX.GL.W.0013.000000T0000Z-190427T1800Z/

/O.NEW.KLWX.SC.Y.0079.190427T1800Z-190427T2200Z/

Chesapeake Bay north of Pooles Island MD-

Chesapeake Bay from Pooles Island to Sandy Point MD-

Chesapeake Bay from Sandy Point to North Beach MD-

Chesapeake Bay from North Beach to Drum Point MD-

Chesapeake Bay from Drum Point MD to Smith Point VA-

Tidal Potomac from Key Bridge to Indian Head MD-

Tidal Potomac from Indian Head to Cobb Island MD-

Tidal Potomac from Cobb Island MD to Smith Point VA-

Patapsco River including Baltimore Harbor-

Chester River to Queenstown MD-Eastern Bay-

Choptank River to Cambridge MD and the Little Choptank River-

Patuxent River to Broomes Island MD-

Tangier Sound and the inland waters surrounding Bloodsworth

Island-

959 AM EDT Fri Apr 26 2019

 

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM EDT SATURDAY...

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM TO 6 PM EDT

SATURDAY...

 

The National Weather Service in Baltimore MD/Washington has

issued a Small Craft Advisory, which is in effect from 2 PM to

6 PM EDT Saturday.

 

* WINDS...34 to 47 knots within the Gale Warning.

 

* WINDS...18 to 33 knots within the Small Craft Advisory.

 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

 

A Gale Warning means winds of 34 to 47 knots are imminent or

occurring. Operating a vessel in gale conditions requires

experience and a properly equipped vessel. Recreational boaters

should seek safe harbor prior to the onset of gale conditions.

 

A Small Craft Advisory means winds of 18 to 33 knots are imminent

or occurring. Boaters operating smaller vessels should avoid

navigating in these conditions.

 

 

 

Les

Gaia

 

Les R. Folio, DO, MPH, FAOCR, FSCBTMR

Col (ret), USAF

Lead Computed Tomography Radiologist,

Senior Research Physician,

Radiology and Imaging and Sciences,

Clinical Center, National Institutes of Health

 

Adjunct Clinical Professor, Radiology, George Washington University Hospital

 

NIH address:

National Institutes of Health

10 Center Drive; Building 10; Room 1C 340 Bethesda, MD, 20892

Voice 301.435 8622, Cell 240.281.8832, Fax 301.480.2229

Email: les.folio@nih.gov

Twitter: @LesFolio

Bio: https://clinicalcenter.nih.gov/meet-our-doctors/lfolio.html

 

 

 

 

From: Racing Discussions <racing_discussions@hhsa.org>
Sent: Thursday, April 25, 2019 8:38 PM
To: Folio, Les (NIH/CC/DRD) [E] <les.folio@nih.gov>
Subject: re: Help Needed <<$229082543644$>>

 

That is wonderful, thank you. Les all RC equipment is on Amara at North. Please get in touch with me so I can hand it over. My cell is 301 536 8040.

Racers who want to practice, Gaia is RC. Gaia will communicate further through this forum regarding the weather


Attachment(s):
Photo-0.jpg (853.4 KB)
 
HHSA racers, 

Race Comittee update on marine wx synopsis wind conditions this morning (see below). 

We Plan on being on the water an hour before start in case you want to radio or call/ text us for updates. My cell is 240 281 8832

If wind and wave conditions allow, we plan on 3 practice starts, the 3rd starting the most basic W/L with Leeward finish as depicted on page 17 of the HHSA coursebook (#2 and attached image). 


GALE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON...

Synopsis: Low pressure will move off the New England coast today as a cold front pushes eastward into the western Atlantic. A weak ridge of high pressure will move overhead tonight followed by another low pressure system on Sunday. Small Craft Advisories may be required Sunday and Sunday evening. 

Today
W winds 15 to 20 kt. Gusts up to 35 kt... Diminishing to 25 kt late. Waves 4 ft.


From: "Racing Discussions" <racing_discussions@hhsa.org>
Date: Friday, April 26, 2019 at 13:37:01
To: "Folio, Les (NIH/CC/DRD) [E]" <les.folio@nih.gov>
Subject: HHSA Racers for practice race tomorrow, Saturday 27 April <<$229127751443$>>

HHSA Racers for tomorrow’s practice race, Saturday 27 April with web details on the following url: http://www.hhsa.org/content.aspx?page_id=4002&club_id=8237&item_id=953480

 

Gaia will be your RC, that said, here is the current Wx brief, see below for the current urgent Marine Forecast including a Gale warning (WINDS...34 to 47 knots). I realize NOAA is conservative on these, however, just wanted to make everyone aware, if someone has a different interpretation of that, feel free to contact me directly, or start a discussion.

 

Looks like winds should be favorable below 20knots by 1255 pm according to CBOS (see graphic below) and we plan on an on time start of 12:55 pm.

Tides: High 11:07 am 1.1 ft, low 6:08 pm 0.4 ft.

See wx synopsis below.

 

See graph below for Conowingo dam discharge pattern; I am not aware of a discharge this weekend. If anyone has a better prediction model, we are adding to our pre-race analysis so feel free to send to me.

 

I am planning on picking up the RC equipment from HH North and taking it to HHS (unless someone may be making a trip from North to South by 10 am, let me know).

 

Also, I am short on crew with RC experience (as of now I am the only one). If anyone has RC experienced crew (or even racing experience familiar with start sequence), I have space (and food, beer, etc.). If I remain short, just be patient with us, we are practicing also.

 

Some may recall when Gaia did RC last year in high winds, there were several incidents including an MOB resulting in a death earlier that day, and an MOB on an HHSA boat and we had damage to our anchor line. Given that experience and inputs from others that day, my threshold for race abandonment has lowered toward the side of safety.

 

FYI Gaia has briefed and practiced our annual MOB drill, which I believe has been recommended to HHSA racers in the past (perhaps not in such a sporty conditions as tomorrow). If winds are over 20 knots, we will likely motor in place instead of anchoring; especially since the braid repair reduces strength.  Plus if we have an MOB (almost happened last year, knife was ready to cut anchor line), we want to be mobile.

 

FYI and example of safety, the Naval Academy Offshore Sailing Program is also short on crew for their N44 sailing tomorrow and will cancel their training mission if they have only 6.

 

If anyone on this email feels a need to abandon before departing or while on the water, Gaia is all ears and committees by consensus; again we err on the side of caution.

 

Thanks!

 

 

 

Marine Zone Forecast

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON...

 

Synopsis: A cold front will cross from west to east late this afternoon and early evening. A weak ridge of high pressure will move overhead Saturday night followed by another low pressure system on Sunday. Small Craft Advisories may be required Saturday evening and again Sunday and Sunday evening. 

Rest Of Today

S winds 15 kt. Gusts up to 25 kt... Increasing to 35 kt late. Waves 3 ft. Numerous showers with isolated tstms late this morning, then widespread showers and numerous tstms this afternoon.

Tonight

W winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts to 35 kt. Waves 4 ft. Widespread showers and scattered tstms.

Sat

W winds 15 to 20 kt. Gusts up to 35 kt... Diminishing to 25 kt late. Waves 4 ft.

Sat Night

W winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts to 20 kt... Diminishing to 5 kt after midnight. Waves 3 ft...subsiding to 1 ft after midnight.

 

 

 

Gale Warning

URGENT - Marine Weather Message

National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC

959 AM EDT Fri Apr 26 2019

 

ANZ530>543-262200-

/O.CON.KLWX.GL.W.0013.000000T0000Z-190427T1800Z/

/O.NEW.KLWX.SC.Y.0079.190427T1800Z-190427T2200Z/

Chesapeake Bay north of Pooles Island MD-

Chesapeake Bay from Pooles Island to Sandy Point MD-

Chesapeake Bay from Sandy Point to North Beach MD-

Chesapeake Bay from North Beach to Drum Point MD-

Chesapeake Bay from Drum Point MD to Smith Point VA-

Tidal Potomac from Key Bridge to Indian Head MD-

Tidal Potomac from Indian Head to Cobb Island MD-

Tidal Potomac from Cobb Island MD to Smith Point VA-

Patapsco River including Baltimore Harbor-

Chester River to Queenstown MD-Eastern Bay-

Choptank River to Cambridge MD and the Little Choptank River-

Patuxent River to Broomes Island MD-

Tangier Sound and the inland waters surrounding Bloodsworth

Island-

959 AM EDT Fri Apr 26 2019

 

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM EDT SATURDAY...

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM TO 6 PM EDT

SATURDAY...

 

The National Weather Service in Baltimore MD/Washington has

issued a Small Craft Advisory, which is in effect from 2 PM to

6 PM EDT Saturday.

 

* WINDS...34 to 47 knots within the Gale Warning.

 

* WINDS...18 to 33 knots within the Small Craft Advisory.

 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

 

A Gale Warning means winds of 34 to 47 knots are imminent or

occurring. Operating a vessel in gale conditions requires

experience and a properly equipped vessel. Recreational boaters

should seek safe harbor prior to the onset of gale conditions.

 

A Small Craft Advisory means winds of 18 to 33 knots are imminent

or occurring. Boaters operating smaller vessels should avoid

navigating in these conditions.

 

 

 

Les

Gaia

 

Les R. Folio, DO, MPH, FAOCR, FSCBTMR

Col (ret), USAF

Lead Computed Tomography Radiologist,

Senior Research Physician,

Radiology and Imaging and Sciences,

Clinical Center, National Institutes of Health

 

Adjunct Clinical Professor, Radiology, George Washington University Hospital

 

NIH address:

National Institutes of Health

10 Center Drive; Building 10; Room 1C 340 Bethesda, MD, 20892

Voice 301.435 8622, Cell 240.281.8832, Fax 301.480.2229

Email: les.folio@nih.gov

Twitter: @LesFolio

Bio: https://clinicalcenter.nih.gov/meet-our-doctors/lfolio.html

 

 

 

 

From: Racing Discussions <racing_discussions@hhsa.org>
Sent: Thursday, April 25, 2019 8:38 PM
To: Folio, Les (NIH/CC/DRD) [E] <les.folio@nih.gov>
Subject: re: Help Needed <<$229082543644$>>

 

That is wonderful, thank you. Les all RC equipment is on Amara at North. Please get in touch with me so I can hand it over. My cell is 301 536 8040.

Racers who want to practice, Gaia is RC. Gaia will communicate further through this forum regarding the weather

 

Attachment(s):

HHSA Racers for tomorrow’s practice race, Saturday 27 April with web details on the following url: http://www.hhsa.org/content.aspx?page_id=4002&club_id=8237&item_id=953480

 

Gaia will be your RC, that said, here is the current Wx brief, see below for the current urgent Marine Forecast including a Gale warning (WINDS...34 to 47 knots). I realize NOAA is conservative on these, however, just wanted to make everyone aware, if someone has a different interpretation of that, feel free to contact me directly, or start a discussion.

 

Looks like winds should be favorable below 20knots by 1255 pm according to CBOS (see graphic below) and we plan on an on time start of 12:55 pm.

Tides: High 11:07 am 1.1 ft, low 6:08 pm 0.4 ft.

See wx synopsis below.

 

See graph below for Conowingo dam discharge pattern; I am not aware of a discharge this weekend. If anyone has a better prediction model, we are adding to our pre-race analysis so feel free to send to me.

 

I am planning on picking up the RC equipment from HH North and taking it to HHS (unless someone may be making a trip from North to South by 10 am, let me know).

 

Also, I am short on crew with RC experience (as of now I am the only one). If anyone has RC experienced crew (or even racing experience familiar with start sequence), I have space (and food, beer, etc.). If I remain short, just be patient with us, we are practicing also.

 

Some may recall when Gaia did RC last year in high winds, there were several incidents including an MOB resulting in a death earlier that day, and an MOB on an HHSA boat and we had damage to our anchor line. Given that experience and inputs from others that day, my threshold for race abandonment has lowered toward the side of safety.

 

FYI Gaia has briefed and practiced our annual MOB drill, which I believe has been recommended to HHSA racers in the past (perhaps not in such a sporty conditions as tomorrow). If winds are over 20 knots, we will likely motor in place instead of anchoring; especially since the braid repair reduces strength.  Plus if we have an MOB (almost happened last year, knife was ready to cut anchor line), we want to be mobile.

 

FYI and example of safety, the Naval Academy Offshore Sailing Program is also short on crew for their N44 sailing tomorrow and will cancel their training mission if they have only 6.

 

If anyone on this email feels a need to abandon before departing or while on the water, Gaia is all ears and committees by consensus; again we err on the side of caution.

 

Thanks!

 

 

 

Marine Zone Forecast

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON...

 

Synopsis: A cold front will cross from west to east late this afternoon and early evening. A weak ridge of high pressure will move overhead Saturday night followed by another low pressure system on Sunday. Small Craft Advisories may be required Saturday evening and again Sunday and Sunday evening. 

Rest Of Today

S winds 15 kt. Gusts up to 25 kt... Increasing to 35 kt late. Waves 3 ft. Numerous showers with isolated tstms late this morning, then widespread showers and numerous tstms this afternoon.

Tonight

W winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts to 35 kt. Waves 4 ft. Widespread showers and scattered tstms.

Sat

W winds 15 to 20 kt. Gusts up to 35 kt... Diminishing to 25 kt late. Waves 4 ft.

Sat Night

W winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts to 20 kt... Diminishing to 5 kt after midnight. Waves 3 ft...subsiding to 1 ft after midnight.

 

 

 

Gale Warning

URGENT - Marine Weather Message

National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC

959 AM EDT Fri Apr 26 2019

 

ANZ530>543-262200-

/O.CON.KLWX.GL.W.0013.000000T0000Z-190427T1800Z/

/O.NEW.KLWX.SC.Y.0079.190427T1800Z-190427T2200Z/

Chesapeake Bay north of Pooles Island MD-

Chesapeake Bay from Pooles Island to Sandy Point MD-

Chesapeake Bay from Sandy Point to North Beach MD-

Chesapeake Bay from North Beach to Drum Point MD-

Chesapeake Bay from Drum Point MD to Smith Point VA-

Tidal Potomac from Key Bridge to Indian Head MD-

Tidal Potomac from Indian Head to Cobb Island MD-

Tidal Potomac from Cobb Island MD to Smith Point VA-

Patapsco River including Baltimore Harbor-

Chester River to Queenstown MD-Eastern Bay-

Choptank River to Cambridge MD and the Little Choptank River-

Patuxent River to Broomes Island MD-

Tangier Sound and the inland waters surrounding Bloodsworth

Island-

959 AM EDT Fri Apr 26 2019

 

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM EDT SATURDAY...

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM TO 6 PM EDT

SATURDAY...

 

The National Weather Service in Baltimore MD/Washington has

issued a Small Craft Advisory, which is in effect from 2 PM to

6 PM EDT Saturday.

 

* WINDS...34 to 47 knots within the Gale Warning.

 

* WINDS...18 to 33 knots within the Small Craft Advisory.

 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

 

A Gale Warning means winds of 34 to 47 knots are imminent or

occurring. Operating a vessel in gale conditions requires

experience and a properly equipped vessel. Recreational boaters

should seek safe harbor prior to the onset of gale conditions.

 

A Small Craft Advisory means winds of 18 to 33 knots are imminent

or occurring. Boaters operating smaller vessels should avoid

navigating in these conditions.

 

 

 

Les

Gaia

 

Les R. Folio, DO, MPH, FAOCR, FSCBTMR

Col (ret), USAF

Lead Computed Tomography Radiologist,

Senior Research Physician,

Radiology and Imaging and Sciences,

Clinical Center, National Institutes of Health

 

Adjunct Clinical Professor, Radiology, George Washington University Hospital

 

NIH address:

National Institutes of Health

10 Center Drive; Building 10; Room 1C 340 Bethesda, MD, 20892

Voice 301.435 8622, Cell 240.281.8832, Fax 301.480.2229

Email: les.folio@nih.gov

Twitter: @LesFolio

Bio: https://clinicalcenter.nih.gov/meet-our-doctors/lfolio.html

 

 

 

 

From: Racing Discussions <racing_discussions@hhsa.org>
Sent: Thursday, April 25, 2019 8:38 PM
To: Folio, Les (NIH/CC/DRD) [E] <les.folio@nih.gov>
Subject: re: Help Needed <<$229082543644$>>

 

That is wonderful, thank you. Les all RC equipment is on Amara at North. Please get in touch with me so I can hand it over. My cell is 301 536 8040.

Racers who want to practice, Gaia is RC. Gaia will communicate further through this forum regarding the weather

 
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